Sunday, October 14, 2007

Thank God for Playoffs

I'm in the group that thinks the BCS ranking system is a joke. Just look at the way the college football season has gone so far. Michigan was ranked 5 and lost to a non-division school, Notre Dame was completely blown out and still has only one win. USC lost to Stanford, LSU just lost to Kentucky, Florida has fallen off and the only big time team from a year ago that's still undefeated (Ohio State) started the season ranked 10 or 11 depending on the poll you like. But I'm not really a College fan anyway so I've decided to look at how this would work in the NFL. The following list is the preseason ranking of the NFL based on record and playoff predictions from Mike Greenberg and Mike Golic (ESPN radio: Mike and Mike in the Morning). I broke ties based on division strength or my own personal preseason ranks. The numbers in parenthesis will be the teams actual rank based on their current record, and yes many will be tied.

1. New England (1)
2. San Diego (18)
3. Indianapolis (1)
4. Dallas (1)
5. New Orleans (30)
6. Chicago (18)
7. Cincinnati (24)
8. Baltimore (9)
9. Pittsburgh (4)
10. Seattle (9)
11. Philadelphia (24)
12. St. Louis (31)
13. New York Jets (27)
14. San Francisco (18)
15. Carolina (9)
16. Denver (18)
17. Jacksonville (6)
18. Kansas City (18)
19. Arizona (9)
20. Green Bay (4)
21. Washington (6)
22. Minnesota (24)
23. New York Giants (9)
24. Tennessee (6)
25. Houston (9)
26. Atlanta (27)
27. Buffalo (27)
28. Tampa Bay (9)
29. Miami (31)
30. Detroit (9)
31. Cleveland (18)
32. Oakland (17)

Oakland, the worst preseason team, is one rank higher than San Diego, the second best preseason team, right now.
Four of the top ten preseason teams are in the bottom half of the league right now.
Five of the bottom ten preseason teams are in the top half of the league right now.
Thank god for playoffs.

2 comments:

Jennifer DeJonghe said...

Speaking of college football.. did you know that Metro State once had a homecoming football game? It's true... and it was faculty versus the students. :)

As for real college football - I agree the ranking system seems wrong, but are there better models they could use?

Jennifer DeJonghe said...

No new posts?